frankston by election preview in case and division of stirling.

the fact that a motion of no confidence against the member of frankston a marginal seat having been one of the marginals that gave balieu a majority the seat is now very marginal the truth is if the polls are correct then the winner of the by-election will be the goverenment if its the libs but if Labor wins the parliament ends up in a stalemate and a new election will have to occur this will likely bring down the goverenment the truth is this will be unheard of in terms of controversy. The next electorate is the perth based seat of stirling first contested in 1955 it was won against the run and was lost in 1958 but won back in 1961 the labor member harry webb was a suprise loss in 1972 against the run of labor’s election to goverenment the seats history of suprises stopped than and the libs held on till 83 and the seat was held until 1993 and than swaped at the three of the next four elections untill 2004 since than it has been increasing the libs margin to 10.3%R at the last election michael kennan the minister for justice is the member currently.