Current situation qld

Today I am taking about what Queensland is at now this state is intriguing due to having two minor parties in the house of reps being Clive Palmer in Fairfax (most marginal seat in the country) and kennedy held by Katter. The fact is that if labor try hard enough on recent history could get 12 seats but that would require an astonishing swing. First let’s look at Brisbane the seat where labor probabally weren’t expected to lose in 2010 remained liberal last time it won’t take much to fall but a 4% margin puts it on edge. A gurrantied fall is Petrie held by Luke horswarth for the Libs under 1% and will likely to be the first to go. However the qld situation could easily reverse while labor looks secure in Oxley, rankin and Blair as well that Griffith has already been held at a by-election. Moreton and Lilley are vulnerable to a swing. Also in Brisbane that could fall is bonner where labor had their biggest swing to cost them a seat in 2010. Dickson and bowman could fall but would require a big swing now. Ryan is now safe. Outside of Brisbane labor could get forde back if they don’t re endorse Peter beatie. Capricornia should return to labor judging on there has been only one term  observations sin recent history. Hinkler is way out of labors reach while Flynn is vulnerable as is Dawson despite the kap demonising progress. Herbert and lichardit could fall as well but look out of reach. And the minor parties in b Kennedy and Fairfax are gone while Palmer’s candidate could win fisher with better preferences it looks unlikely. In the senate the question will be if the greens get back.