Election half way point expectations nsw

Today i am talking about what i think an election if it was today would be starting with nsw an interning state in terms of marginals since 1963 nsw is the litmus test state only having a party win majority government with less seats in nsw in 1961 since the second world war. The most marginal seat in nsw is Barton a shock loss for labor last time the seat has swung over 15% in the last two elections but the seats marginal status keeps a prime target for labor a seat labor would almost certainly gain is page unless Kevin hogan could snap a run since -1990 of only goverenments members the seat is much more labor friendly although the swing was above trend last time another seats that would likely go with abbott are Lindsey and Robertson as well as the traditional one Eden-Monaro while labor has massive damage in Lindsey and Robertson both would be likely labor gains while Eden-Monaro has an unpredictable factor of being nearer to Canberra than Sydney. Labors long he seats of banks and Reid would be harder to region py sid of landslides unles the conservative experiment fails. Dobell if Craig Thomson has passed an easy labor gain but it would see how a second term member goes. The greens are still a chance in Sydney where If polls are accurate could pass the Libs and threaten labor grey ländler labor’s safest seat is almost a similar situation. For labor Paramata is their most vulnerable and would possibly fall weirawa on trend is close but labor will hold on same with Richmond. Hunter is the only contest the nats have a roll in that is interesting out of the coast and on trend will be close. The senate going in is three coalition (Libs/nats) 2 labor and 1 green while the liberal democrats won a seat it is improbable to continue at a other election. The third liberal seat as a close one with labor and unlikely some one like the liberal democrats would threat if the greens hold up will