Pre-election previews Paterson

Welcome back I am begining a seat by seat preview with the marginals getting focus starting with Paterson a seat that was revealed in 93 had substational changes this time the seat was won by two people both with the name bob one a labor mp in 93 and 98 and bob Baldwin who won in 96 and held it since 2001. The seat was changed by the abolishment of hunter and the rumoured preference swap could come into effect however the Libs have the incumbent advantage as well as Joel Fitzgibbon moved to another seat (not yet announced) a marginal seat would likely have a correction to labor however the region correction was in the redistribution so the Libs will make it a contest this will be tight

Prediction: labor notional retain due to the likely correction on the Libs support from the high mark last time. 

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