Preview division of New England

New England is a odd seat not because labor have a high vote (last won it in 1910) but the area and the seat was an independent stronghold from a safe nats seat the federal seat was won by Tony Windsor from 01 to 2013. It was also won at a state level by three MPs especially Windsor and Richard Torbay (also an ex nats candidate) both never run as nats. Barnaby switch to New England and the hung parliament aftermath might make you think the area has gone to Ian Sinclair levels (member 1963 to 1998) but the independents haven’t gone in fact they have outpolled labor every election since Windsor was elected. Barnaby won’t be an easy beat but judging on history only one leader (truss) has had his seat still nats held dating back to pre-McEwen. This seat won’t be a strong labor seat even with the parts of hunter which may make a big  difference.

P eduction: independent gain very close h t unless the goverenment changes their positioion on mining

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