Today i am talking about the division of Calare the safe nats seat that wasn’t always safe almost an original seat this seat has long been marginal as labor won it 1983-96 and the nats won it since 07 in the gap an independent won it Peter Andren. The nats incumbent is retiring John Cobb member for Parkes 01-07 before switching to Calare is now retiring while this isn’t currently a marginal seat Cobbs personal vote will be a big loss that and a correction to labor might make a difference Cobbs personal vote was so big that the swing against him in 07 in a much more different Calare of 0.1% his loss of the agriculture department after Joyce switched houses another thing to consider is that the parts of the old seat of hunter while not much migh help labor
Preview of Division of Calare
Prediction: nats retain with a swing to labor.