Division of Herbert preview 2018/19

Herbert is a ultra marginal labor seat that used to litmess test until 2007  it was won by labor’s ted Lindsey in 1983 who lost to peter Lindsay in 1996 (no relation) who held on in 2007 against. A high profile labor candidate he was succeeded by Ewen jones in 2010 who had to overcome a redistribution in labor’s favour he held on in 2013 but in an upset lost to labor’s Cathy o’toole By only 31 votes last time making it the mOst marginal seat in the country it is also note worthy that the greens finished 5th on primaries and a strong one nation vote. Labor needed to come form behind last time on prefeeences pulled ahead now the question is can they raise their vote enough in an Adani area where the mine will hurt labor due to them opposing it. The libs recent comments on coal to be fair might make it More balanced (although it was their state leader). On a side note it was the only seat contested by Palmer United (they came last) at the last election. It is the only labor seat in qld not in Brisbane except possibly Longman which is just out of it. The Townsville based seat will be critterical to the election but at this stage it will be close
Prediction narrow alp hold