Preview of Forde 2018/19

Today I am looking at the seat of Forde first contested in 1984 it is a ultra marginal seat the libs scraped home at the first contest with future state minister David Watson who was a minister in the liberal state goverenment in the 90s and lead the libs from 1998 to 2001 in qld he lost the federal seat in 1987 to Mary Crawford of the alp she was very popular surviving the anti labor trend especially in 1993 but was the causality of the 1996 redistribution which made the seat a stronger liberal seat her attempt to switch to the safer labor seat of Griffith which had the incumbent retire but lost the pre selection contest to Kevin Rudd forced to stay in Forde she was beaten by liberal mp Kay elision who retired in 2007 leading to a shock labor Gain on a 14.4 percent swing to labor’s Brett rangose despite a favourable redistribution he was defeated in 2010 by current mp Bert van Manen who has held it since but it remains very marginal. This is by far the most marginal seat in this part of qld as it is dominated by the safe liberal area of the Gold Coast. Despite this labor have won it against the odds before with this area not effected by adani even though qld seems to have seats that remain marginal liberal for a long time.