Division of Gilmore 2018/19 preview

Today I am looking at the south coast of nsw seat of Gilmore first contested in 1984 as a slightly more rural seat the seat was won by nationals mp John sharp who was a minister in the first term of the Howard goverenmnt but he represented Hume then where he switched in 1993 when the seat fell to labors Peter Knott for one term due to the high labor vote in nsw he lost to Joanna gash of the libels party in 1996 who was popular increasing her margin to over 14% in 2001 but lost the lead in the 2010 redistribution but still held on at the election she retired in 2013 and was succeeded by Anne Somalis of the librral party she hasn’t proven to be popular having big swings against her at the two last elections but still holds the seat despite only just being ahead on election. Night. This is a tough seat to hold for the libs especially with pre selection troubles if sonalis is replaced the seat could fall on the woman protest vote alone it is that close unless she can start being popular this seat will fall

Prediction alp gain 

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