Division of Dunkley 2018/19 preview

Today i am looking at the seat of Dunkley a very marginal seat that has changed hands in the redistribution first contested in 1984 it was won by labor’s bob chenyweth who was re-elected in 87 before losing in the Victoria anti labor landslide in 1990 to the liberals frank ford before winning it back in 1993 he lost in 1996 to Bruce bilson who was a minister at the end of the Howard government and in the Abbott government before being sacked when Turnbull took over he quit in 2016 and Chris Crewther held on in 2016 for the libs in a close contest now the seat is notionally labor it is going to be a tough contest to hold especially if the election is after the Victorian one he is a rising star in the libs but for him to hold the seat he will have to rely on Dan Andrews to be unpopular which is not certain especially if after the state election. It is in tradition liberal teerritory but not as much now and should be a labor notional hold