division of braddon preview 2018-19 and by election

today i’m looking at the marginal seat of braddon first contested in 1955 as a renamed version of darwin the tasmanian seat has long been marginal first won by liberal aubery luck for one term before losing to labors ron davies who held it till labors tasmaanian wipeout in 1975 the liberals won it back than with ray groom 1975-84 and chris miles 1984-98 the seat than fell to sid sidebottom of labor who held it for all but one term (2004-07) till 2013 when liberal brett wheatly won it back it was than won in 2016 by labors justine keahy who was resigned causing a byelection over citizenship with polls showing the liberals ahead this seat could be crazy with them running wheatly but at this stage its closer than the polls say but a narrow liberal gain at the by-election is likely