division of dickson preview 2018/19

today we are looking at the most important seat yet dickson first contested in 1993 it was won by labors michael laverch who was member for fisher from 1987-93 he was attorney general in the keating governments second term minus a few days due to the delay in dickson even going to the polls due to a dead independent. In 1996 he lost to controversal liberal mp tony smith (no connection to the current speaker) he lost endoursement and with labor running former democrats leader Cheryl Kernot it was no suprise that labor won it back in 98 but lost in 2001 to current member Peter Dutton who has held it since despite a hostile redistribution in 2010. He has tried to abandon the seat before in 2010 this time he faces one of his toughest reelection attempts with the trend away from the liberals and a very small margin. The greens would also like to see the last of Dutton his whole future prime minister chances depend on this and unless the liberals put a lot more effort in than recent times and he focuses more on local issues than his home affairs portfolio he will be gone.
prediction narrow labor gain